UF
UMB FINANCIAL CORP (UMBF)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Strong quarter with operating EPS of $2.96 and GAAP EPS of $2.82, driven by 14 bps NIM expansion to 3.10%, revenue growth to $689.2M, and lower provision as Day 1 HTLF provisioning rolled off; noninterest income also benefited from $37.7M in pre-tax gains, including $29.4M from Voyager Technologies’ IPO .
- UMBF beat S&P Global consensus: Primary EPS $2.96 vs $2.37* and revenue $665.7M vs $635.9M*; beats were supported by purchase accounting accretion ($42.2M to NII, incl. $13.1M accelerated) and outsized fee gains, partially offset by higher acquisition-related amortization and charitable contributions .
- Credit improved: NCOs fell to 0.17% from 0.45% in Q1; nonaccruals declined to 0.26% of loans; management expects charge-offs to remain near or below historical averages in 2H25 .
- Integration on track: Minnesota pilot conversion completed in mid-July; remaining HTLF conversions slated for October; CET1 rose to 10.39% aided by $294.1M Series B preferred issuance and redemption of $115M Series A in July .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- NIM expansion and revenue growth: NIM (FTE) rose to 3.10% (+14 bps q/q) and total revenue increased 22% q/q to $689.2M, driven by loan/securities yield expansion, mix, and HTLF accretion .
- Fee upside from investments and fund services: $37.7M pre-tax gains (incl. $29.4M Voyager IPO); trust & securities processing +$3.5M q/q; AUA in fund services reached $543B (per CFO prepared remarks) .
- Asset quality improvement: NCOs improved to 0.17% (from 0.45%) and NPL ratio declined to 0.26%; mgmt guided to near/below historical charge-offs in 2H25 .
- What Went Wrong
- Expense pressure: GAAP noninterest expense rose to $393.2M (+2.2% q/q), with $13.5M acquisition-related and $8.3M charitable expenses; operating noninterest expense rose 15% q/q to $380.0M .
- Mix-driven deposit costs: Interest-bearing deposit costs stayed flat at 3.34% as robust growth skewed to higher-priced business/institutional balances, limiting cost relief despite HTLF’s core deposit benefits .
- Fee volatility risk: Voyager equity mark and other private investment gains lifted noninterest income this quarter and will be marked to market each quarter until exited, introducing potential variability (904k VOYG shares owned) .
Financial Results
Headline metrics vs prior periods
S&P Global estimates vs actuals (Q2 2025)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Note: Company-reported total revenue was $689.2M; S&P’s revenue definition differs from company-reported “total revenue” .
Segment results (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)
Key banking KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Total revenues of $689.2 million in the second quarter represented a 22.2% increase from the prior quarter… Net interest margin expanded 14 basis points sequentially to 3.10%… We had yet another successful outcome with our investment in Voyager Technologies, Inc. which went public in June resulting in a pre-tax gain of $29.4 million in the second quarter.” — Mariner Kemper, CEO .
- “Our second quarter results included $42.2 million in net accretion to net interest income, $13.1 million of which was related to accelerated accretion from early payoffs of acquired loans… Our third quarter fee income will be impacted by changes in market value… of our 904,000 share ownership in Voyager Technologies stock.” — Ram Shankar, CFO .
- “We successfully executed our pilot conversion of Heartland’s Minnesota franchise… This initial conversion… positions us well for the full conversion slated for mid-October.” — Mariner Kemper, CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Loan growth and portfolio alignment: ~$1.9B top-line quarterly production; strong activity across C&I, CRE, and residential mortgage; ongoing realignment of select HTLF credits with immaterial payoff impact to combined balances .
- Expense path and cost saves: ~$124M targeted cost saves; ~$17M quarterly run-rate realized; majority of remaining saves to come with vendor consolidation and conversion in Q4’25–Q1’26 .
- Margin/Deposits: Q3 NIM guide “essentially flat”; IB deposit costs stable at 3.34%; DDA typically troughs in Q3 with mid-single-digit contraction; deposit growth skewed to higher-priced commercial/institutional balances .
- Securities/liquidity deployment: ~"$10B of cash" at 2Q-end (now ~$5B) being deployed; bond portfolio expected around $17B with $6–7B excess liquidity; reinvestment tailwind as bonds and fixed-rate loans reprice higher .
- Deposit competition: Growth driven by volume/mix rather than pricing defense; consumer/small business deposit growth targeted via expanded branch footprint and campaigns .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 results vs S&P Global consensus: Primary EPS $2.96 vs $2.37*; revenue $665.7M vs $635.9M* — both beats. Q1 2025 also exceeded Primary EPS consensus ($2.58 vs $2.19*), while revenue came in below S&P’s consensus definition ($477.8M vs $559.0M*) .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Core profitability improving: Operating EPS $2.96 and efficiency ratio down to 51.5% on operating basis, with NIM expanding to 3.10% and lower provisioning q/q as Day 1 HTLF provisioning rolled off .
- Integration executing to plan: Pilot conversion complete; full conversion in October should unlock the next slug of cost saves and support continued positive operating leverage into 2026 .
- Revenue durability vs volatility: Durable drivers include NIM/mix and fund services momentum; however, quarterly variability from private investment marks (Voyager stake) will impact noninterest income until monetized .
- Credit risk trending better: NCOs improved to 0.17%; NPLs at 0.26%; mgmt expects near/below historical loss rates in 2H25, reducing tail risk from the acquired portfolio .
- Near-term modeling: Assume flat NIM in Q3, operating expenses $380–$385M, preferred dividends step-up ($7.9M in Q3, $5.8M thereafter), and a 19–21% 2025 tax rate; model mid-single-digit DDA contraction in Q3 .
- Capital path supportive: CET1 10.39% and preferred capital actions provide flexibility while integration completes; book value per share up to $90.68 .
- Watchlist: Q3 seasonality (DDA), deposit mix/costs, conversion execution in October, realized investment gains/marks, and pace of cost saves realization .
Additional Context and Press Releases (Q2 2025)
- Announced Series A preferred redemption (completed mid-July) .
- Voyager Technologies IPO-related gain ($29.4M pre-tax) highlighted in a dedicated release .
- UMB participation in $80M Guzman Energy revolver (institutional banking activity) .
- Q1 2025 baseline (for trend): NIM 2.96%, operating EPS $2.58, higher Day 1 ACL provision ($62M), and elevated NCOs due to acquired loans .
Notes:
- Company totals and ratios are per UMBF press release/8-K unless otherwise noted.
- Asterisks denote S&P Global estimate data; Values retrieved from S&P Global.